SARATOGA ANALYSIS FOR THURSDAY – 7/23/2020 – SCRATCHES UPDATED

[consensus Choice]

SARATOGA ANALYSIS FOR THURSDAY – 7/23/2020 – SCRATCHES UPDATED

1ST RACE – HURDLES

2ND RACE 

THE KEY SPEED EARLY IS #2 TAKE IT TO SCALE (5/1). #5 CARTHON (3/1) AND #3 WONDER IN (5/2) SHOULD BE CHASING HIM. #5 CARTHON ALSO IS THE BEST CLOSER IN THE FIELD SO THAT MAY MAKE HIM A DOUBLE THREAT IN HERE.

3RD RACE

SIX FIRST TIME STARTERS IN A 7 HORSE FIELD AND THE ONLY STARTER HAS SHOWN LITTLE SPEED SO FAR. PASS.

4TH RACE – NEW YORK STALLION SERIES STAKES $100,000

#6 NICKY SCISSORS (7/2) FIGURES TO GO STRAIGHT TO THE FRONT. LONGSHOT #7 HUNNYBUNNERDINI (10/1)  SHOULD BE PRESSING THE LEADER EARLY AND #2 DIXIE CANNON (9/2) MIGHT BE PROMINENT EARLY ALSO. ML FAVORITE #1 FRESCO (1/1) ISN’T A REAL FAST CLOSER BUT IS THE TOP LATE RUNNING FILLY IN HERE.

5TH RACE 

SOME PRETTY FAST EARLY RUNNERS IN THIS MAIDEN AFFAIR, #6 IRISH FRONT (9/2), #3 NEW FRONTIER AND #2 O’TROUBLE (7/2). MAIN BENEFICARY OF THE SPEED DUEL IS THE ML FAVORITE #4 AHEAD OF PLAN (5/2). THERE IS ALSO A FIRST TIMER THREAT IN #7 INSTINCTIVE RHYTHM (3/1). WATCH THE TOTE.

6TH RACE 

LIMITING OUR VISION TO JUST THE FAVORITES, #9 KITTEN BY THE SEA (6/1) AND #1 BALON ROSE  (8/5) ARE THE EARLY SPEED. #6 PURE WOW (15/1) IS A LONGSHOT WHO WILL BE PRESSING THE TOP HORSES EARLY. TOP CLOSERS ARE #1 BALON ROSE (8/5), #5 BAREEQA (3/1) AND #3 KELLEYCANRUN (5/1).  #1 BALON ROSE IS ANOTHER DUAL THREAT WHO CAN BE CLOSE EARLY AND STRONG LATE.

7TH RACE 

7 OF THE 8 ENTRANTS HAVE MAJOR LEAGUE EARLY SPEED AND THE CLOSERS ARE NOT A FACTOR. THE TOP 2 ARE #11 QUALITY STONES (8/1) AND #10 BERTRANDA (9/2).  EVEN LONGSHOT #12 BUSTIN TO PLEASE (15/1) COULD BE CLOSE THROUGHOUT AND STILL BE RUNNING HARD AT THE FINISH.

8TH RACE 

ANOTHER RACE WITH HIGH OCTANE SPEEDERS AND NO CLOSERS. LOOKING AT THE FAVORITES, #9 ITS A WRAP (3/1), #8 ETHOS (9/2) AND ML FAVORITE #4 FRENCH REEF (2/1) SEEM THE BEST. LONGSHOT #2 CALL HOME (15/1) HAS RUN FASTER THAN ALL 3 IN THE PAST BUT GETS LITTLE RESPECT IN HERE. WOULDN’T BE SURPRIZED IF HE GRABS THE LEAD EARLY AND TAKES THEM AS FAR AS HE CAN.

9TH RACE 

MORE SPEED BURNERS SIGNED ON HERE. #6 CAPTAIN SCOTTY (9/2), #3 ADMIRAL LYNCH (4/1) AND #1 WENDELL FONG (7/2) SHOULD LEAD THE WAY. THERE IS A BIG TIME CLOSER IN HERE, #5 MIHOS (3/1).

10TH RACE 

THIS RACE HAS A POSSIBLE LONE SPEED IN #3 DEPUTY FLAG (9/2). HIS MOST SERIOUS EARLY THREATS ARE LONGSHOTS, #7 MORE THAN STRIKING (15/1) AND #1 OH MY PAPA (10/1). TOP CLOSER IS THE ML FAVORITE #11 FINANCIALSTABILITY (2/1) WHO IS A DECENT ENOUGH LATE RUNNER (2/1) TO TAG THE SPEED, ALTHOUGH SARATOGA WAS HEAVILY SPEED FAVORING WEDNESDAY ON ALL SURFACES.

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